Month-to-date pace against budget, with a shape-adjusted projection and confidence band for every store. Each location flagged ahead, on-track, or behind, long before the month is over.
Pick a store to see its actual pace, projected end-of-month total, and dollars to goal. Toggle the projection between shape-adjusted and linear, and filter the chain by status.
PacingDemo dataStore 1002 has booked $34.1K of its $105K month. On a naive linear read it looks close, but its shape-adjusted projection lands at $98.2K, about 94% of goal. That's a $6.8K gap, surfaced with eighteen days still left to close it.
A naive projection assumes every day is the same. Yours isn't, so we weight the forecast by how your stores actually earn across a month.
Month-to-date net sales accumulate per store, refreshed in near real-time from the POS.
We weight the remaining days by your own same-day-of-month pattern, not a flat average.
An end-of-month forecast with a confidence band, and a clear ahead / on-track / behind flag.
The forecast stabilizes in the first business days, so you can adjust labor and promos while the month is still winnable.
Weekend-heavy and end-of-month-heavy patterns are built in, so a slow first week doesn't fake a miss.
Not just a percentage, the exact dollars each store needs to close, so coaching has a number on it.
Two ways. A linear projection extends month-to-date sales evenly across the remaining days. A shape-adjusted projection weights the forecast by your store's own same-day-of-month curve, so weekend-heavy or end-of-month-heavy months are not under- or over-counted early.
The shape-adjusted projection stabilizes within the first handful of business days, which is why operators say they know by the 5th. A confidence band widens or narrows with how much of the month has been observed.
Each store's projected end-of-month total is compared to its budget goal. Roughly 101% or more of goal reads ahead, about 97 to 101% reads on-track, and under 97% reads behind, with the exact dollars to goal shown alongside.
Yes. Compare the projection to a budget goal or to the same period last year, per store and for the whole chain, so you can see pace against plan and pace against history side by side.
Book a 30-minute demo and we'll pace your own stores against budget, with a shape-adjusted projection for every location, refreshed in near real-time.